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Search Results 0 to 26 of about 27 (some duplicates have been removed)
. in nevada, the white vote was down because it was 19%. nevada used to be a swing state. 71% again in the state of nevada. one of the key battlegrounds. let me give you one more example. colorado. once a red state, now a purple state. latino vote, double digits and 75%. 75%. let's look over here. president wins nevada. once a swing state. wins colorado. wins new mexico. this used to be one of the classic swing states in american politics. don't even think about it anymore, right? and he's probably going to win florida. why do i circle those? i'm going to slide this little barrier. the darker the colors, the higher the latino population. nevada, colorado, new mexico, florida, you can find other places as well up into the midwest. the republicans don't solve this problem. this is a crisis for the republican party. >> it certainly is. we're going to talk more about texas in a bit because i see that orange there. what about women? i know this war on women fight, a lot of people wondered whether it would be effective, but when it actually happened -- >> in a word, yes. >> romney did not
the difference. connell: you think nevada colorado go to obama and he still wins ohio? >> yes. i am not perfect but the hispanic vote, obviously the storm is a massive tragedy to slow the governor's momentum. the president looked presidential. those two factors will make the difference. connell: looking at the possibilipossibili ty is the rest of the hour but the economic course 10 the former energy secretary, gas prices every day at the all-time high on election day. that have a negative effect at all for the president? >> and not think the voters blame presidents for gas prices. and has been going down. he does have a strong commitment to renewable energy. i think it is awash. >> the hispanic vote turns out. thank you for coming on today governor richardson. dagen: the all-time high by $0.3 per is close. brett baier is here. >> good morning. dagen: what will you look at tonight's the people will not talking about turn out to and states? >> we will have an early sense with virginia at 7:00 p.m. we will have exit poll numbers to give us a sense with ed dead heat depending on how that chefs. dag
of the hour we'll take you to nevada and wisconsin. first, back to sole dad. >>> at the end of the day, it's all going to be about the math. in order to win, you have to hit the magic number of 270 electoral votes. let's get to christine romans who is crunching the numbers. >> the rose to 270. what if it were a draw at 269? it's possible. there are four 269 scenarios. statistically, there are 120 different scenarios. four with the swing states. this is hypothetical, remember. the map is assuming that states that are actually leaning go in the direction that they're leaning right now. wisconsin, ohio, and new hampshire, new hampshire with the four electoral votes, if they go for obama and romney wins nevada, colorado, iowa, virginia, and the 29 over there in florida, then you're at a tie. worst nightmare for both parties. 269 each. now a note for iowa here, this is assuming it goes red, it goes for romney with the six electoral votes. recent polls there showing a slight lead, actually, for obama. if wisconsin and ohio vote democrat, you know, technically you could think -- you could conclud
california looks, it matters how nevada looks, matters how virginia looks. >> right. >> reporter: it is difficult for mitt romney to say this economy is in freefall. it is not. >> reporter: >> unemployment rates here is pretty -- good. 5.2%, one of the lowest in the country. the president won here by ten percentage points in the last election. my question here is why can't he lock it down right now? it's neck and neck. >> you know, though, we actually feel like we are locking it down. we have been lock it down for two years. >> i think he is selling something. i don't think it's locked down. >> reporter: we found plenty of iowans that aren't defensed by either campaign. >> fiscally i just don't see how we can sustain ourselves. i mean, europe right now, i mean, big huge great empires, countries and all that, that they're going bankrupt. it's going to be us. >> reporter: orthodontist chad moran plans to vote for romney, but didn't think his math udz up to erase the deficit. >> i don't think either side honestly really has a plan for going ahead. >> it becomes a lesser of two evils
marquez is in las vegas, nevada. ed lavandera is in denver, colorado, for us this morning. john zarrella comes to us live from plantation, florida. we want to begin with complete comprehensive coverage with john berman checking in to see how our correspondents are faring. >> thanks, soledad. the candidates are all over the place today. president obama and mitt romney hold atriallies in seven states today. a final frenetic day of campaigning across the battleground. for the president, he begins in wisconsin, a state that has voted true blue since 1984 but it is almost always close. and with paul ryan a native wisconsin son on the republican ticket, the obama team is taking no chances. they've called in the cavalry to help, including the boss, bruce springsteen to seal the deal. dan lothian is live in madison, wisconsin. good morning, dan. >> good morning, and you're right, bruce springsteen will be warming up the crowd here with a 30-minute concert before the president comes out. the campaign has been using these big names not only to draw in big audiences, but also to energize them. i ca
nevada, those four states, romney could win with pennsylvania and then the other swing states. >> virginia -- >> and florida. it's not his best -- it's not where he would want to be at this point in the campaign. but looking at where the polls have been in ohio all year, i think they think it's worth a shot. >> you think it makes a difference on the last day, the day people are voting for a candidate to show up in pennsylvania and ohio? >> here's the thing about that. in those other states, early voting is well under way and most of each sides' votes have already been banked. pennsylvania doesn't have a big early voting program. so everyone that's going to vote in pennsylvania is going to vote on tuesday. so he might think, maybe this is my chance, i have a captive audience there because obama hasn't been there much. and i've got more votes that are available to me in pennsylvania. >> we're all spending so much time thinking about ohio. but is there another state you're looking at closely right now? >> the thing i'm looking at is some of these states where hispanics are a risi
battleground state, florida, nevada and colorado. if he can do well enough in those states with the latino voters, he could pull off a victory. he could also do it if he gets at least 30% of latino voters. right now it unclear. >> t.j. winick, thank you. stay with abc7 news for complete election day coverage. we'll bring live updates throughout the night, including reporters mark matthews at obama headquarters chicago and laura anthony at romney headquarters in boston. get real-time results on abc7news.com the moment the polls close at 8 p.m., live updates all night at facebook.com/abc7news and through twitter. >> officials in new york and new jersey believe they will be able to get everybody to the polls tomorrow, even in the areas ravaged by superstorm sandy. thousands will have to cast ballots outside of their neighborhoods. tens of thousands are camping outside their homes in 30° weather. they will be forced to seek shelter by wednesday when a new storm is predicted to hit. many schools reopened today, commuters are still crowding on to transit systems, slowly coming back online and p
in florida. poppy harlow is in iowa, ted rowlands is in wisconsin and kyung lah is in nevada. the highest unemployment rate of all of the toss-up rates at 11%. colorado, close to the national average. iowa, my home state, 5.2%. there they havy problem finding workers. ali, where you are in ohio, it's 7%. finally in florida, 8.7%. john zarrella, 8.7% unemployment, is that the co-issue voters will take to the ballot box in florida on tuesday? >> reporter: there's no question about it, chrischristine. they're already taking it to the ballot box. this is the early voting line. tomorrow is the last day for early voting and the line is probably two hours long already here now. the key issue here with unemployment, construction industry very hard hit, particularly new housing starts. the reason for that? there's such a glut of foreclosed existing homes that that supply is still out there to be absorbed. just up the coast, couple hundred miles, kennedy space center, coincidentallily, retiring the last of the space shuttles today, "atlantis." more than 4,000 highly skilled workers lost their jobs
are nevada where there are six votes, wisconsin where there are ten and here in ohio, there are 18. and winning just those three of all these battle grounds gets you to 271 in a very narrow win, but that's what would do it for him and they feel very good about those three states. >> assuming they hold pennsylvania. >> that's true. that is a big point right there. >> i think there's a sense that florida might be moving in romney's direction. structurally, that's always been the most problematic of the battleground states for obama. and if i were betting, i would bet romney carries florida. >> and we're hearing from the romney side that there's a bit of a head fake there. >> it may be. what a lot of strategists have told me is if you're going to make a play for a state, you need to do it at least three weeks before election day. so one week out, not even a full week, makes it tough. it might be too little too late for mitt romney where they are spending a lot of money at this last minute. but they've got a lot of money to spend. >> it's less a head fake than a hail mary ad. if they c
are michigan and nevada and new mexico. the reason i believe that is if you read the distorted media polls, most of them start off with a far too many democrats and far too few republicans. the latest pew survey has a national margin of 3 points for obama has 4 points more democrats than republicans. but the gallup poll which is the most authoritative last week concluded that there were now three points more republicans than democrats in the country. so it's d-4 and the reality is r-3. so it's a 7-points distortion. so if you are showing romney losing by 3 he's running by 4. if you take the finding in the pew poll that republicans are 6% more likely to turn out than democrats. so instead of it being plus 7, instead of switching to it a romney win by 4, you now have a romney win by 6 or 7. and then you take the undecided vote which always goes against the i am couple bent. you allocate it 2 to 1 for romney you are talking about a win of 7-10 points. if you go through each of the states you can do a similar calculation. i don't want to exaggerate by saying 5 or more. but i think you will be
state of nevada in mitt romney's column, and that's how you get it. it's not very implausible, and, yes, we know that right now the president seems like a favorite in nevada, and that's what makes this less likely than what most folks think, but between that and don't forget you've got congressional districts in nebraska and maine. the point is if you remember how we started this campaign which was the state of iowa decided by eight votes between rick santorum and mitt romney and then oh, by the way the results flipped two weeks later, i've always worried that that was foreshadowing this nightmare scenario. >> as you talk to us, chuck, i want to note that vice president biden is waiting in line to vote in delaware this morning. we'll keep an eye on that as you and i continue to talk. >> reporter: speaking of vice president biden. under this scenario and people are wondering if you don't get to 270, this would go to the house, so the house would elect the president. the senate would elect the vice president, so under this scenario your most likely outcome romney/biden. >> then we'll know
, virginia, colorado, nevada, those are states that used to be reliably conservative and seem to have gone into the, well, they all went into the obama category this time. we don't know about florida yet. you change those around, you have got a different president. what happened? >> well i think in large part it was the presence of the latino vote as a significant bloc, jon. i think this is part of the changing face of america in general and population. but in the specific context of last night's election it is the changing face of the american electorate. you take a state like florida, you know, used to be, you would think, it is cuban-americans. now as we heard, puerto ricans, people coming from all over latin america. they are not reliably republican voters. in fact, last night, cuban-americans went for romney but the rest of that latino population, way outnumbered them and went heavily for president obama. and you know this is reflected then in questions like, you know, which candidate cares about people like me? which candidate is going to reflect my interests, and for hispanics who w
is that this is over, if not tonight, at least tomorrow morning. >> the western states will play key as well, nevada, colorado. we weren't talking about those states in 2000, 2004, there will be a difference as well. >> david frum wrote no voting system is perfect. but here's what doesn't happen in other democracies, politicians of one party do not set voting schedules to favor their side and harm the other. politicians do not move around voting places to gain advantages of themselves or to disadvantage -- in fact, in almost no other country do politicians have any say in the administration of the elections at all. >> i agree. >> i worry about who has control of that process. >> in no other country do we spend so much time. this has been a year and a half almost. it feels like a year and a half since the primaries. >> it feels like five. >> in no other country is there -- really in few other countries is there early voting, absentee balloting. all the opportunities there are to vote in this country. >> we still don't have such a high percent of participation. maybe we should rethink how we do it. >>
Search Results 0 to 26 of about 27 (some duplicates have been removed)